New Mexico Supercomputing Challenge

How Many People Can One Person Infect With The Flu?

Team: 116

School: Picacho Mid

Area of Science: Epidemic & Health


Interim: Problem Definition:
Many people can get the flu. The Flu is a highly contagious viral infection of the respiratory passages causing fever, severe aching, and catarrh and often occurring in epidemics. We are going to use a ratio of one in ten people exposed are infected. We are going to demonstrate this infection through StarLogo TNG. The goal of this project is to find out how many people one person can infect with the flu.

Problem Solution:
Our plan for solving the problem is that we will make a model in StarLogo TNG. We will define an infection and recovery rate so people won’t be infected all the time. We will do field research to make a data base to model in StarLogo.

Progress to Date:
What we did for the handwritten data base is that two of us from different grades went around the school for two days. For every person we touched or talked to we made a tally mark. We assumed one in ten people got sick. In our model we started with one infected person. When we made our model in StarLogo TNG we made it so every person that gets infected recovers in a period of time.

Expected Results:
After everything that we have accomplish we hope to find out about the minimum of people that can get infected by one person in a period of time. After demonstrating everything we hope to understand this problem and how we can stop the flu virus from spreading among ourselves. We will find the “best” solution for this problem.

References:
http://www.livescience.com/32284-how-do-we-catch-the-flu.html
http://www.webmd.com/
http://www.webmd.com/cold-and-flu/flu-guide/flu-symptoms-types
http://science.howstuffworks.com/life/cellular-microscopic/flu.htm
http://science.slashdot.org/story/13/01/20/1317249/

Team Members: Martha Chavez, Jennifer Tonks, Verity Summers, & Kaira Trout

Sponsoring Teachers: Mrs. Kindig, Mrs. Stout, and Mrs. Gomez.


Team Members:

  Jennifer Tonks
  Verity Summers
  Martha Chavez

Sponsoring Teacher: Ann Gomez

Mail the entire Team

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